Palestinians Think Israel is Winning
Ask some Israelis about the war in Gaza and they can sound pessimistic. The war is a slog. It can’t keep on going. International critics complain that the war has no clear goalposts (beyond destroying Hamas) and is inherently unwinnable. What does victory even look like? There’s one metric that they seem to have overlooked. In 2023, 70% of ‘Palestinians’ thought that Hamas was going to win. Today, only 43% do. After the Oct 7 attacks, 72% of them thought that the Hamas attack was a good idea. Today only half still do. The number of those who admit it was a bad idea rose from 22% to 40%. In Gaza, 58% now acknowledge that Oct 7 was a mistake. And these numbers have been steadily and consistently dropping as the war goes on. Among the enemy population, victory is no longer an option and most hope for a ceasefire. 43% are willing to leave the Gaza Strip. 50%, a majority, are willing to ask Israel for help to leave. Less than half of those in Gaza are happy with how Hamas has fought...